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Editorial cartoonist Scott Stantis for Sun, Oct 27, 2024 on millionaire tax referendum. | Scott Stantis/For the Chicago Tribune (Click on image to enlarge)

By THE EDITORIAL BOARD | Chicago Tribune

“Should the Illinois Constitution be amended to create an additional 3% tax on income greater than $1,000,000 for the purpose of dedicating funds raised to property tax relief?”

This statewide ballot question, dubbed by its supporters as the Illinois Property Tax Relief Amendment Referendum, has been pushed by former Illinois Gov. Pat Quinn. Other prominent and predictable supporters of this nonbinding referendum include U.S. Reps. Jesús “Chuy” García and Danny Davis.

These Democrats are linking the property tax crisis among the middle class in Illinois (specifically, the huge hikes in bills seen in the recently reassessed South and West suburbs in Cook County) with tax rates for high-income Illinoisans. By saying they are earmarking the potential revenue for property tax relief, they are disguising what otherwise is a simple state tax increase on high earners.

How much this endeavor would swell Illinois coffers is disputed, but WBEZ reported Thursday that the state’s revenue department has estimated it would raise $4.5 billion.

By way of background, note that the Illinois Constitution states that the state shall have a flat tax: specifically, “a tax on or measured by income shall be at a non-graduated rate.” Most likely, the passage of this question would lead to another ballot initiative for a constitutional amendment.

Note also that voters rejected a 2020 effort by Gov. JB Pritzker to establish a graduated state income tax that would have reduced the current 4.99% flat rate on single and joint filers making under $100,000 and variously increased it on those above that level; the Chicago Teachers Union, looking for money for its members, wants the governor to try again. Naturally.

We say the voters already spoke. We encouraged a ‘no’ vote on that 2020 effort saying, in part, that “the beauty of today’s flat rate is that raising it on everyone at once is much harder politically than gouging one cohort at a time. This amendment would strip taxpayers of their leverage against ever-more hikes.”

Clearly, voters agreed and that argument still holds.

Read more here.

Related: “‘Millionaire’ Tax would be $2-$3.3 billion short of providing any property tax relief,” “Legislator says ‘millionaire tax’ will make Illinois a ‘business desert’ (McLaughlin),” “Should Illinois millionaires fund property tax relief?

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“We haven’t had population loss.” It’s a claim Gov. JB Pritzker and his allies have made before, and it’s preposterous. Unfortunately, they get away with it because the media and many of our supposed watchdogs let them.

By Mark Glennon and John Klingner | Wirepoints

Deputy Illinois Governor Andy Manar said this last week:

We haven’t had population loss. There have never been more people living in the State of Illinois than there is today. In the census there’s a thing called the post enumeration survey (PES) that shows that Illinois gained population. It’s a correction. and it’s a real correction from the Census Bureau…. Illinois is not losing people, it is gaining people.

It’s a claim Gov. JB Pritzker and his allies have made before.

It’s preposterous.

Manar has no basis for his claims and overwhelming evidence says, instead, that Illinois has lost population year after year, probably a decade. Making matters worse, Manar’s claim was blindly accepted by Better Government Association President David Greising who moderated the panel where Manar made the claim.

Here are the facts:

For starters, the ten-year census on which Manar relied is four years old now. Not only does he ignore what’s happened since April 1, 2020, the census effective date, but his claim of “never been more people living in the State of Illinois” isn’t true either. The decennial census showed a small loss of 18,124 people over the decade, but the flight problem did not become apparent until about 2014. That’s when annual census estimates, as well as other evidence, began to show the downturn, continuing every year thereafter. Illinois population therefore probably peaked about then, not now as Manar claims.

Further, April 2020 is about when violent crime skyrocketed, including the 2020 riots in Chicago that summer, which one can reasonably assume contributed to flight from the state. Direct evidence of what has happened since April 2020 indicates accelerating flight. For that, we can start with the Census Bureau’s annual estimates, which show further decline each year since 2020. We lost a net 100,016 people in 2021, and another 107,826 in 2022 and a further loss of 32,826 people in 2023.

As for the Post Enumerations Survey (PES) Manar focused on, no, it does not officially alter the results of the 2020 decennial census, which showed the small 18,124 loss. The PES is a survey conducted after every census to attempt to identify potential errors. It’s based on answers from just 0.1% of American households, which the census says is too small to make any official changes with.

Finally, the Census Bureau recently announced it would do a one-time adjustment of Illinois’ population based on an undercount identified by the Post-Census Group Quarters Review (PCGQR). The change adds 46,400 Illinoisans, which the census says it will use to adjust future, annual estimates. That tiny adjustment hardly dents the far bigger losses since 2020.

Beyond Census Bureau numbers, we can look at IRS migration data. The IRS numbers are precise because they know exactly how many people file returns and where they are moving to and from. We’ve documented those numbers year after year. For 2022, the most recent year reported by the IRS, Illinois netted a loss of 87,000 residents, with 175,000 moving into Illinois from other states and 262,000 moving out. Since 2000, Illinois has lost a net 1.6 million people to net out-migration, according to the IRS data.

How about moving van numbers? Headlines have been routine for years about numbers from moving companies showing Illinois among the nation’s biggest losers. The most recent annual study from United Van Lines, for example, says Illinois had the highest percentage of moves being outbound: 61%.

When Manar made his population claims, Greising’s response was “Oh, okay, sorry…. Okay, Okay.” Shame on Greising. The facts laid out above have been long published by many sources and it’s inexcusable for him to kowtow to conflicting government propaganda, which he is supposed to be challenging.

Read more here.

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Former Illinois Gov. Pat Quinn discusses property taxes during a news conference in the Loop in 2022. Illinois voters will consider a nonbinding referendum Nov. 5 suggesting that millionaires get taxed more to fund property tax relief. | Ashlee Rezin/Sun-Times

By Dave McKinney | WBEZ

Helping homeowners: A 3% tax on individual income over $1 million would flood Illinois’ coffers with at least $4.5 billion in new revenues annually, a new state estimate shows, weeks ahead of an advisory referendum on earmarking that money for property tax relief.

Key context: The estimate, obtained by WBEZ through a state open-records request, marks the first time Gov. JB Pritzker’s Revenue Department has weighed in on the proposal’s effects on the state’s wealthiest citizens. Its goal is to ease what is a daunting financial issue for the middle class.

On your ballot: The exact wording of the ballot question reads, “Should the Illinois Constitution be amended to create an additional 3% tax on income greater than $1,000,000 for the purpose of dedicating funds raised to property tax relief?

Bottom line: The results of the referendum won’t be binding, but the outcome could arm policymakers in the General Assembly seeking a constitutional amendment in 2026 — the year Pritzker himself may be on the ballot — to impose the millionaire tax for property tax relief.

Read on here.

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Starting in 2026, you won’t be buying any compact fluorescent light bulbs to replace that burned out one in Illinois. Tubes go away in 2027. Gov. J.B. Pritzker is banning the same light bulbs Illinois’ former senator and president championed 15 years ago.

By Dylan Sharkey | Illinois Policy Institute

Illinois is banning fluorescent light bulbs in 2026. This government mandate replaces the old government mandate about how we light our homes and businesses.

The Clean Lighting Act changes language in the Illinois Environmental Protection Act prohibiting mercury-containing fluorescent light bulbs. The law starts with a partial ban in 2026 which applies to the production or sale of screw-based or bayonet-based compact fluorescent lamps.

The law takes full effect in 2027 and extends to pin-base compact fluorescent lights and fluorescent tubes. Fluorescent bulbs already in use will be allowed but will have to be replaced with LED bulbs when they burn out.

Exceptions for the ban for include medical uses, academic research, headlights on vehicles manufactured before 2020 and other exceptions.

Proponents argued 3 in 4 bulbs are improperly disposed of and release mercury and other toxins. Opponents of the bill argued the conversion will cost businesses the most.

Illinois is the 10th state to impose the fluorescent light ban.

More here.

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By Kevin Bessler | The Center Square

Gov. J.B. Pritzker has signed two bills into law that aim to address property taxes in Illinois, but a policy think tank says neither will bring any reforms.

One measure allows home rule municipalities to provide abatements for newly remodeled homes, but the Illinois Policy Institute notes that it simply shifts the property tax burden to those who didn’t make improvements.

Another law commissions the Illinois Department of Revenue to study the entire property tax system in the state, including a review of assessments, collections and the tax levies themselves.

Pritzker mandated a similar directive to a task force in 2019. The task force released a draft report recommending various changes in policy, including government consolidation, more education funding and expanding the sales tax base.

Joe Tabor, director of policy research with the Illinois Policy Institute, said few of the task force’s recommendations were followed up on, and the report ignored the main driver of property taxes in Illinois and that is overpromised public pensions.

“A lot of this money that is going to teacher’s pensions, for example, could be going to other education expenses and that could reduce property taxes,” said Tabor. “We need a constitutional amendment to allow changes in future benefits.”

Tabor adds that the bills are just changing policy around the edges without taking action to address the root causes of high property taxes.

More here.

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A new study shows which states are losing their young and wealthy.

By The Editorial Board | Wall Street Journal

More bad news for California, Illinois and New York. A recent analysis finds that their most upwardly mobile millennials are fleeing for lower-tax states. Call it a high-tax state brain drain. The flight of the young and newly affluent promises to compound the states’ budget and economic problems.

Using IRS data, the fintech company SmartAsset ranked states based on net migration of young households (ages 26 to 35) in 2022 that earned at least $200,000 a year. The biggest losers: California (-3,226), Illinois (-1,323), Massachusetts (-1,102), New York (-345) and Pennsylvania (-320).

Michigan, Louisiana, Delaware, Minnesota and Missouri round the top 10 losers. Delaware (6.4%) and Illinois (4%) lost the largest share of their young, higher-earning households.

The biggest gainers were Florida (1,786) and Texas (1,660), which have no income tax. They attracted more than twice as many such households as any other state. “Half of states attracting the most young and rich households don’t charge state income tax,” the study notes. The other big gainers without an income tax are Tennessee (347) and Nevada (162).

Washington state (383) also ranked in the top 10 gainers of young affluent households, along with Colorado, North and South Carolina, Arizona, and of all places New Jersey. The Garden State had significant movement of young households into and out of the state, and perhaps it benefited on net from young families moving out of New York City.

Although Washington state doesn’t tax wage income, Democrats imposed a 7% tax on capital gains above $262,000 in 2022. An initiative to repeal the tax is on the ballot this November. Do Washington voters want their software engineers and entrepreneurs following those migrating from Silicon Valley to Austin?

Damage to high-tax state economies will compound as more young, upwardly mobile people leave. Local businesses and their workers will lose customers. On the other hand, lower-tax states will benefit from the influx of high-earning young professionals who will grow wealthier as they get older. Newcomers may also start families and businesses.

More here.

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Loose rules on campaign cash have allowed legislative leaders in Springfield to consolidate their power and protect incumbents by directing the flow of money to preferred candidates. | Brian Cassella/Chicago Tribune

By RAY LONG and RICK PEARSON | Chicago Tribune

At the Democratic National Convention in Chicago, the importance of money in national politics was clear, from the appeals made at fancy fundraisers to the unrelenting streams of video ads and text messages.

But in Illinois, big money is inundating politics at a pace that virtually puts government offices in the Land of Lincoln up for sale.

Few states invite politicians to raise and spend so aggressively as Illinois, where large infusions of cash led by billionaire Democratic Gov. JB Pritzker and his billionaire Republican enemies are enabled by loose rules and feeble enforcement standards that tempt politicians to push the limits of campaign finance boundaries.

As part of the ongoing series “Culture of Corruption,” which explores how Illinois’ voracious politics, structural flaws and tepid oversight set the state apart, the lack of meaningful campaign finance reform has repeatedly been identified as a key factor.

In this state:

  • Campaign contribution limits, approved only 15 years ago, are easily circumvented by a common maneuver political insiders call “the money bomb,” meaning the restrictions are essentially ignored.
  • Politicians use their campaign funds to legally launder cash so donors can obscure their identities and get around contribution limits to send more money to their allies.
  • Legislative measures to control campaign spending — often announced with great fanfare — are repeatedly buried or watered down by the very lawmakers who would be bound by them.
  • Election laws banning political action committees from coordinating with the candidates they support fail to define “coordination.”
  • The state agency charged with enforcing election laws has little authority to launch its own investigations or levy tangible penalties that might deter violators.

The flood of money pouring into the state’s pliable political system has created a raucous campaign environment where the last two races for Illinois governor have become the most and third-most expensive governor’s races in the nation, and, in 2022, allowed the incumbent governor to spend as much as he wanted to help pick the Republican rival he correctly thought would be easiest to defeat.

It has permitted legislative leaders in Springfield to consolidate their power and protect incumbents by weaponizing political donation rules meant to ensure fair play and directing the flow of cash to preferred candidates.

It allows indicted politicians, including two of the longest-serving elected officials in state history, to pay for their criminal lawyers with campaign cash and, if they are convicted of public corruption, to use those same funds to pay heavy fines.

Read more here.

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A ribbon-cutting event to celebrate the completion of the Longmeadow Parkway Corridor and the opening of the new bridge that crosses the Fox River will be held Thursday. (Kane County)

By MIKE DANAHEY | Elgin Courier-News

The completion of the Longmeadow Parkway Bridge Corridor will be celebrated with a ribbon-cutting event to be held at the Carpentersville bridge at 11:30 a.m. Thursday, Aug. 29.

Years in planning and construction, the opening of the bridge is the last step in a significant development in Kane County infrastructure, “enhancing connectivity, improving
transportation efficiency and fostering economic growth,” a news release said.

The Longmeadow Parkway is a 5.6-mile stretch of road between Huntley Road and Route 62 that crosses through Carpentersville, Algonquin and Barrington Hills. Its centerpiece is the bridge that crosses over the Fox River.

Initially, the bridge was to be paid for with tolls but state legislators secured enough funding to cover the cost of construction bonds without requiring a user fee to pay for them. It is one of three regional bridges over the river in the northern Kane County area.

More here.

Related: “Recordings reveal 2006 Duda Property / Longmeadow Parkway ‘deal’

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Consumers have been hammered with inflation on groceries during the past four years. Illinois was heading in the right direction by eliminating the tax on them, but now communities are faced with either imposing a new grocery tax or losing the money.

By Ravi Mishra | Illinois Policy Institute

Grocery prices ballooned by nearly $3,000 in just the past four years in the U.S., a massive increase considering prices only increased by about half that amount in the 10 years before 2020.

Illinois prices were similar, but Illinois has been one of only 13 states that taxed those groceries. It seemed as if Gov. J.B. Pritzker was eliminating that 1% grocery tax starting in 2026, but now local communities are faced with an ugly choice: reimpose the 1% tax on residents or give up the grocery tax revenue.

Consider the impact on a family of four buying what the U.S. Department of Agriculture defines as a “low-budget meal plan.” In January 2020 they would have spent an average of $858 a month on groceries. Inflation by May 2024 boosted that to $1,064 – $2,473 more per year. That same shopping list only rose $1,164 a year between 2010 and 2020.

The USDA’s  “moderate cost” meal plan went from an annual increase of $1,429 from 2010-2020 to $2,940 a year more from 2020-2024.

Illinois will eliminate the grocery tax Jan. 1, 2026 – sort of. State lawmakers and Gov. J.B. Pritzker killed the tax as part of the current state budget, but they gave up nothing by doing so. Grocery tax revenue does not go to the state, it stays with local municipalities.

More here.

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By Ted Dabrowski and John Klingner | Wirepoints

Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker has spent the last several days hyping up Illinois to the attendees of the DNC and a national audience. “Of everywhere in this great country, there’s not a better place to see the change possible under Democratic leadership than here in Illinois…Democrats deliver,” he said in his opening video.

He reached a crescendo last night during prime time, making the case for the national Democrats’ policies, with Illinois and Illinois-like policies at the forefront, of course.

But how real is Illinois’ success story really? Pritzker claims that Democrats are champions of jobs, small businesses and the middle class, yet when you look at the direct impact his own policies have had on Illinoisans, things look very different from the governor’s rhetoric.

Illinoisans aren’t better off than they were five years ago. They’re worse-off. And in the most important metrics, Illinois is actually a national outlier.

It’s important to note that Gov. Pritzker didn’t put Illinois in that position on his own. Democrats have had a near-monopoly hold* on Illinois for more than two decades and for nearly 100 years in Chicago. Pritzker is just the next in line.

But for the record, here are the key facts on Illinois’ performance since the governor took office in January of 2019.

Economic growth – nation’s 4th worst.

Gov. Pritzker owns the 4th-worst economic growth in the country. Illinois’ real GDP growth has totaled just 3.1% over his 5.5-year tenure. Indiana’s economy (+10.8%) grew three times more, while Florida’s economy (+22.8%) grew seven times more during the same period.

(Click on image to enlarge)

Employment – nation’s 3rd worst.

85,000 fewer Illinoisans are employed today than when Gov. Pritzker took office in 2019 – the nation’s 3rd-worst performance. Compare that to top-ranked Texas, which has added 1.4 million to its employment rolls over the same period.

(Click on image to enlarge)

Illinois’ lack of good jobs is reflected in its current jobless rate. The state has the nation’s 2nd-highest unemployment rate at 5.2% – behind only Nevada. Illinois has consistently ranked among the worst states for unemployment since Gov. Pritzker took office.

(Click on image to enlarge)

Read more here.

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